cyclone in arabian sea now

61.8°E, about 1120 km in southwest of Karachi and 1030 Km south of Gawadar. “Cyclone Ockhi is in line with my recent paper published in Nature Climate Change. The predicted depression will lie over the Arabian Sea somewhere opposite the coasts of Maharashtra, Goa, and Karnataka. 2019 recorded one of the most active cyclone seasons in the North Indian Ocean. The most recent Cyclone Kyarr, was the first super cyclone with windspeed of 250 kmph to form in the Arabian Sea after a gap of 12 years. [2] [3] [4] However, storms typically do not reach a high intensity in the Arabian Sea due to dry air coming from the desert of the Arabian Peninsula and unfavorable wind shear from the monsoon. The depression in East-Central Arabian Sea has intensified not a deep depression and is likely to become a cyclonic storm Kyarr anytime now. However, by the time, the system transforms into Cyclone Kyarr, it would start drifting away from the Indian coast. So how did this affect the Indian sub-continent? Kyarr, which … Why there are very few Tropical Cyclones during southwest monsoon season? To understand the frequent and severe tropical cyclones in the Arabian Sea today, one must go back 60-70 years in time and study the climate changes then, says Venu G Nair, a meteorologist at the Centre for Earth Research and Environment Management. It began with Cyclone Vayu in June which was classified as a 'very severe cyclonic storm' by the IMD with wind speeds of 150 kmph. This year, the sea that touches the Indian subcontinent, West Asia and West Africa, has seen formation of Vayu, Hikka, Kyarr and Maha cyclones. "The two seas are going through different climatic phases. The current storm over the Arabian Sea will be called ‘Nisarga’, once it intensifies into a cyclone. Wind gusts were estimated at 167 km/h (104 mph), and … From the Southern Indian Ocean, the warm water moves further to the Northern Indian Ocean via the western boundary currents or Monsoon drifts found near the Arabian Sea, explains Venu. The cyclone formed over the Arabian Sea on Friday. The North Indian Ocean is very active ! It has forecast heavy to very heavy rainfall over south coastal Maharashtra for June 2-4, on north coast on June 2-3 and in Gujarat, Daman and Diu, and Dadar & Nagar Haveli on June 3-5. However, there would be strong winds to the tune of 40 kmph -50 kmph, gusting up to 65 kmph. In fact, indications are there that the storm may even become very severe cyclone during the next 72 hours. To move west-northwestwards towards Oman coast during next 5 … NEW DELHI, Sept 15: There were five cyclones over the Arabian Sea in 2019 against the average of one per year, the Ministry of Earth Sciences said on Tuesday. The Met Department has also issued a warning for a cyclonic storm brewing in the Arabian Sea. NASA satellite image of Super Cyclone Kyarr in the indian Ocean. According to one study, done on ITF state, "The volume, heat and freshwater carried by the ITF are known to impact the state of the Pacific and Indian Oceans and modulate regional climate variability through altering the regional air-sea exchange and precipitation patterns.". Kyarr, which is a category 4 hurricane was only preceded by Super Cyclone Gonu in 2007, which ravaged the coast of Oman. From Down to Earth: Findings by Hiroyuki Murakami of Princeton University suggest that 64% of the cyclone risk in the Arabian Sea was due to climate change.The study further warns that the coastal areas surrounding the Arabian Sea are at specific risk since the geographical location offers cyclones nowhere to go but the land. The system is presently centered at Latitude 15.7°N and Longitude 71.3°E, about 250 km west-southwest of Ratnagiri, 400 km southwest of Mumbai and 1860 km east-southeast of Salalah, Oman. The Sea Surface Temperature or SST of the Pacific Ocean rose suddenly and affected the atmospheric dynamics and wind patterns across the planet, says Venu. Warming of Arabian Sea, cooling of Bay of Bengal. Two tropical systems evolves over Arabian Sea. Moving westward, the storm lashed Bahrain with winds of 180 km/h (110 mph). Cyclone ‘Nisarga’: Storm activity intensifies in Arabian Sea Country is now bracing to face another cyclone ‘Nisarga’ which is headed towards coastline of Maharashtra and Gujarat, IMD said that depression intensifed into a deep depression at 5:30 am on Tuesday Tropical Cyclone 02A in the Arabian Sea east of Oman has been weakening and has become a tropical depression. While Vayu, Hikaa and Kyarr did not make landfall in India, the western coast from Kerala to Gujarat witnessed heavy rains and strong winds, affecting normal life in several areas. The cyclone is heading towards Gulf of Aden.Read More: https://www.skymetweather.com/content/national-video/cyclone-sagar-forms-in-arabian-sea … This is why we are seeing increased cyclonic activity in the Arabian Sea as the SST has risen over the years," he says. Interestingly, while the Arabian Sea warms up, the northern part of Bay of Bengal is witnessing a cooling phenomenon due to fresh water discharge from the melting Himalayan glaciers and other factors, according to Venu. A new storm poses a threat to the coasts of Oman, India, and Pakistan this week, as Cyclone Nilofar develops over the Arabian Sea. Reasons for multiple cyclones in the Arabian Sea. Sea conditions would be rough to be very rough, due to which fishermen are not advised to venture out in the sea for next 48 hours. This is usually known as the Fujiwhara effect - named after the Japanese Meteorologist Sakuhei Fujiwhara - when two nearby cyclone vortices orbit each other," Fahad adds. Fahadh Marzook, a hazard analyst and climate expert at the Kerala State Disaster Management Authority (KSDMA) also confirms that increase in sea surface temperature has triggered more cyclones in the Arabian Sea. Extremely severe cyclonic storm Maha, developed over the Arabian Sea, even as Kyarr prevailed and is expected to make landfall in Gujarat on Thursday. (CNN)A rare tropical cyclone barreling across the Arabian Seahas reached the intensity of a Category 4 hurricane, becoming the strongest storm recorded in the area for 12 years. The Arabian Sea saw the formation of four cyclones in 2019, a phenomenon recorded after 117 years, according to meteorologists. The year was identified as a 'climatic shift' by experts. The Amphan cyclone was among the fiercest storms ever seen in India. Four cyclones formed off the coast of India in the Arabian Sea – Vayu, Hikaa, Kyarr and Maha. We have been making our own projections using American and European climatic models and are expecting more cyclonic storms until December. "The first condition for a cyclone to form is rise in temperature. Two big cyclonic systems forming at the same time could also influence each other's wind systems and lead to pushing and pulling. The cyclone formed over the east-central Arabian Sea early on Friday and is likely to gain strength and become a severe cyclonic storm during the next 12 … Severe Tropical Cyclone (Nilofar) in Arabian Sea has intensified into a Very Severe Tropical Cyclone and is now located at Lat. For this, we have set up warning systems and contingency measures to ensure that the fisherfolk don't venture into the sea and are shifted from the coasts to safe shelters," he added. The rise in SST also explains how the monsoon behaviour in the country has noticeably changed, with extreme rainfall resulting in landslides and flooding in several places. Cyclones are rare in the Arabian Sea, but the basin can produce strong tropical cyclones. Conclusion: “We predicted that intense cyclones will increase during the late monsoon season in the Arabian Sea due to anthropogenic (manmade) forcing,” says Hiroyuki Murakami, a Princeton University scientist who is probably the foremost authority on the likelihood of cyclones rising in the Arabian Sea. After undergoing through several intensifications, Cyclone Hikka has finally formed in the Arabian Sea. TNM spoke to two experts who believe that among other factors, the ongoing climate emergency, could be the reason for this abnormal activity in the Arabian Sea. The RSMC New Delhi now classifies it as Severe Cyclonic Storm. The hot air goes up and a low pressure forms. The name Hikka has been given by the Maldives. December 1957 – A cyclone developed over the Arabian Sea near the Gulf of Oman on December 27. The storm is now packing winds of … The last time five tropical cyclones were witnessed in a year was in 1902. "East Asian countries, particularly China, and its carbon emissions is said to have contributed to the heating up of the Western Pacific Ocean, since oceans absorb nearly 40% of the CO2 emitted by human activity," says Venu. Over the next two days, the conditions are becoming conducive for further progress of Southwest Monsoon over to southeast Arabian Sea, remaining parts of Andaman Sea, and more parts of south and central … While three Arabian Sea cyclones - Vayu, Hikaa and Kyarr - did not make landfall in India, the western coast from Kerala to Gujarat witnessed heavy rains and strong winds, affecting normal life. Advisory No.4 : Tropical Cyclone – 04A (NILOFAR) in Arabian Sea. A huge change occurred in the year 1976, when scientists across the world confirmed a sharp rise in temperature in the Pacific Ocean's equatorial region. With the long sea travel ahead along with extremely warm sea surface temperatures settling between 30 degree Celsius and 35 degree Celsius, we expect potential Cyclone Kyarr to further intensify into a severe cyclone. The year 2019 has already seen four cyclones ranging from 'very severe cyclonic storm to super cyclone' developing in the Arabian Sea - a rather unusual phenomenon in the region which could be linked to global warming. Thereafter, the maiden tropical storm of is likely to re-curve and move westwards towards Oman and adjoining Yemen coast. As reiterated, the deep depression would continue to track north-northeast, closer to the coast till October 25. But heavy rains and winds disrupt the coasts and the fishing community are directly affected by this. Currently a … Anything above 27 degree centigrade is ideal for the formation of depressions which turn into cyclonic systems above the ocean. Last year, cyclone Vayu that formed in the Arabian sea stalled the monsoon after it entered Kerala on June 8. It fell under the ‘very severe cyclonic storm’ category, with wind speed going up to 170-180 km/hour. Here is all the latest. May 24, 1959 – The eye of a storm passed over southwestern Oman near Raysut. Not only is there growing formation of cyclones in the Arabian Sea, these storms have also been increasingly severe in intensity. Venu states that is is this transfer of excess heat energy via the ITF, among other factors, that has led to a noticeable increase in the Indian Ocean's sea surface temperatue or SST over the decades. Show us some love and support our journalism by becoming a TNM Member - Click here. This oceanic pathway has immense influence over the region's climate patterns. The most recent Cyclone Kyarr, was the first super cyclone with windspeed of 250 kmph to form in the Arabian Sea after a gap of 12 years. However, peripherals of Kyarr would continue to govern the weather over the West Coast but with much reduced intensity. “The Depression over Eastcentral Arabian Sea moved northwards and lay centred about 300 km west-southwest of Panjim (Goa), 550 km south-southwest of Mumbai (Maharashtra) and 770 km south-southwest of Surat (Gujarat). Satellite image of extremely sever cyclone Maha by the IMD. More information on whether the predicted depression will intensify further up the cyclonic storm scale and how it will move will be known in the next couple of days, with the IMD saying that it will maintain a continuous watch on the area for the next one week. Hence, a cyclone in Arabian Sea, is a severe threat to the Indian Monsoon. Normally, the Arabian Sea only has one cyclone every year, but 2019 saw five cyclones develop throughout the year –– which was a 117-year record. According to senior meteorologists at Skymet, Cyclone Kyarr to form in Arabian Sea anytime now, to intensify into severe cyclone by Friday evening. Officials of the India Meteorological Department (IMD) as well as climate experts are expecting more tropical cyclonic activity from the North Indian Ocean until December. This system was brewing at a location about 200 km off Ratnagiri on Maharashtra coast since early this week. 15.8°N and Long. But last year, Cyclone Vayu, was a severe cyclone, which delayed the Monsoon. The depression in East-Central Arabian Sea has intensified not a deep depression and is likely to become a cyclonic storm Kyarr anytime now. The ITF is the only open pathway between the Western Pacific and the south eastern tropical Indian Ocean and flows through the Indonesian Archipelago. This explains not just the frequent and sudden cyclonic storms in the Arabian Sea, but also the changed behaviour of the monsoons. The system, which was a Deep Depression in the East Central and adjoining Northern parts of the Arabian Sea has now become a … But it is crucial to understand the growing cyclone activity in the region. During the next 24 hours, light to moderate rain and thundershowers with isolated heavy falls across Coastal Karnataka, Goa and Coastal Maharashtra. "This is for sure a rare occurrence. Cyclonic storm in Arabian Sea; IMD issues red alert to coastal Maharashtra, Gujarat for June 4. Fahadh maintains that the State Disaster Management Authority are expecting more cyclonic storms to form in the Arabian Sea until December. The oceanic basin to the west of the Indian sub-continent which usually sees low-intensity cyclonic activity has suddenly turned into a hotspot of sorts, churning out severe cyclonic storms one after the other. These cyclones, being very agile low pressure areas when compared to land, quickly draw the monsoonal winds towards them and sucks out all the moisture that is present in them. "Studies measuring the SST rise in the Indian Ocean shows that the water has warmed up to a depth of 2000 mts or 2 kms, from 200 mts recorded earlier," he says. Also, 2019 witnessed the development of more intense cyclones over the Arabian Sea, the ministry said in response to a question in Rajya Sabha. But if you notice, no cyclones have been created in the Bay of Bengal, barring Bulbul - in the months of October and November - while the Arabian Sea has turned into a cyclonic hotspot and has churned out several cyclones," he adds. (150 Words) IMD The Hindu reported on Friday that IMD’s weather models weren’t expecting a cyclone. 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This was followed by Cyclone Hikaa in September, which again termed a 'very severe cyclonic storm' and moved in north-west to make landfall in Oman. The Cyclone would continue to move in northwest direction today with a speed of 06 Km/hour and is expected to re-curve … The excess heat energy in the Western Pacific Ocean was transferred to the South Indian Ocean via the Indonesian Throughflow (ITF), a low altitude, oceanic pathway for warm, fresh water to move between the two ocean basins. TROPICAL Cyclone Hikaa is churning in the Arabian sea, and is likely to plough straight into land. The Bay of Bengal is usually susceptible to pre and post monsoon cyclonic storms. The Arabian Sea witnesses a normal of one cyclone per year. "These cyclones rarely make landfall in Kerala or Karnataka coasts. NASA satellite image of very severe cyclonic storm Vayu over the Arabian Sea. However, it's not the formation of a super cyclone in the Arabian Sea that has triggered interest, but the simultaneous development of two big cyclones in the region. Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘Kyarr’ intensified into Very Severe Cyclonic Storm over eastcentral Arabian Sea. The system is presently centered at Latitude 15.7°N and Longitude 71.3°E, about 250 km west-southwest of Ratnagiri, 400 km southwest of Mumbai and 1860 km east-southeast of Salalah, Oman. It caused widespread damage in Kolkata even after it weakened considerably as it moved over land from the coast towards the city. Simply put, the excess heat has led to excess evaporation and water vapour in the atmosphere, leading to extreme rainfall patterns, Venu explains. Satellite image of extremely sever cyclone Maha by the time, the tropical! Dutch Shell employees form is rise in temperature to form in the Arabian Sea, but the... Influence each other 's wind systems and lead to pushing and pulling this. 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